V-Lab
Netflix Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
42.08%
increased by 1.74%
1 Week
42.30%
increased by 1.96%
1 Month
43.48%
increased by 3.14%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 24, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0762 | 0.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0861 | 1.64 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0134 | -0.34 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1871 | 0.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2091 | 0.14 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6795 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.156
Half-life:
0 days
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