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V-Lab

Netflix Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

43.42%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

43.55%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

44.06%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Netflix Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 24, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0605
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0025
4.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9843
855.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0163
7.01***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

138 days