V-Lab
Netflix Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
43.42%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
43.55%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
44.06%
increased by 0.53%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 24, 2002 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0605 | 4.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0025 | 4.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9843 | 855.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0163 | 7.01*** |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
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