V-Lab
Miral Dental Compa Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
34.46%
decreased by 0.52%
1 Week
35.44%
increased by 0.46%
1 Month
36.82%
increased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 29, 2024 to Jul 23, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7828 | 3.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1078 | 1.94* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7132 | 5.49*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=4
| γ1 | 9.7995 | 2.26** |
| γ2 | -15.2806 | -2.16** |
| γ3 | 8.7525 | 1.87* |
| γ4 | -4.1762 | -1.64 |
Persistence:
0.821
Half-life:
4 days
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