iShares MBS ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
5.23%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
5.25%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
5.33%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | ||
| 0.0629 | 17.63 | |
| 0.8889 | 227.97 | |
| 0.0964 | 8.90 | |
| 0.0656 | 15.68 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.02 | |
| 0.9876 | 681.57 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 16, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
Mar 16, 2007 to Jun 5, 2026
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