iShares MBS ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:3.53% (-0.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1687 | 3.02 | |
| 0.1237 | 3.73 | |
| 0.8501 | 30.06 | |
| 0.5482 | 0.59 | |
| -1.1073 | -0.76 | |
| 1.0653 | 1.62 | |
| -0.8820 | -4.27 | |
| 0.7193 | 3.13 | |
| -0.8505 | -3.77 | |
| 1.4461 | 6.84 | |
| -1.7636 | -8.22 | |
| 1.0490 | 6.40 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 16, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Mar 16, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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