V-Lab
Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
39.31%
1 Week
41.33%
1 Month
45.37%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1322 | 12.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8717 | 76.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1159 | -11.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.1150 | 0.50 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8594 | 0.43 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1373 | 0.07 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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