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V-Lab

Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

43.24%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Week

43.77%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

47.20%

increased by 2.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 201% more than negative returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

101
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1398
22.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9016
253.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0934
-11.57***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7201
0.13
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

130 days