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V-Lab

Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

39.31%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

41.33%

increased by 1.55%

1 Month

45.37%

increased by 5.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1322
12.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8717
76.01***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1159
-11.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1.1150
0.50
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8594
0.43
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1373
0.07

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

12 days