Grab Holdings Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
43.24%
1 Week
43.77%
1 Month
47.20%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 201% more than negative returns
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 101 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1398 | 22.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9016 | 253.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0934 | -11.57*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.13 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7201 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
130 days
Other Grab Holdings Limited Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities