Grab Holdings Limited Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
41.95%
1 Week
40.78%
1 Month
37.49%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 18% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.27 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1289 | 8.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2866 | 34.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7080 | 81.01*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0656 | -5.63*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.2689 | 10.92*** |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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