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V-Lab

Warsaw Stock Exchange GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

31.72%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Week

30.29%

decreased by 1.89%

1 Month

27.25%

decreased by 4.93%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Warsaw Stock Exchange GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 9, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2805
13.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0593
12.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7858
75.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0694
5.36***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days