V-Lab
Warsaw Stock Exchange GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
31.72%
decreased by 0.46%
1 Week
30.29%
decreased by 1.89%
1 Month
27.25%
decreased by 4.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 9, 2010 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 117% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2805 | 13.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0593 | 12.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7858 | 75.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0694 | 5.36*** |
Persistence:
0.880
Half-life:
5 days
Other Warsaw Stock Exchange Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities