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V-Lab

GoHealth Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

137.56%

decreased by 2.79%

1 Week

147.37%

increased by 7.02%

1 Month

151.94%

increased by 11.59%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of GoHealth Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 15, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9456
3.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1361
2.21**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3732
2.15**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ11.5373
0.26
γ2-0.0200
0.00
γ3-3.7906
-0.70
γ43.7866
1.29
γ5-5.4786
-1.82*
γ68.9171
3.25***
γ7-6.5622
-2.74***
γ80.0304
0.01
γ95.2690
1.92*
γ10-5.9991
-2.56**

Persistence:

0.509

Half-life:

1 days