GoHealth Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
91.27%
decreased by 6.71%
1 Week
95.81%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Month
105.29%
increased by 7.31%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 15, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1809 | 7.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7334 | 20.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0193 | -0.37 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.41 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8096 | 1.32 |
Persistence:
0.905
Half-life:
7 days
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