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V-Lab

GoHealth Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

94.47%

decreased by 10.26%

1 Week

97.76%

decreased by 6.97%

1 Month

106.68%

increased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of GoHealth Inc APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 15, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 1.31 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8696
5.50***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1850
10.06***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7870
29.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0924
1.45
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3110
15.34***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days