GoHealth Inc APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
94.47%
decreased by 10.26%
1 Week
97.76%
decreased by 6.97%
1 Month
106.68%
increased by 1.95%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 09:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 15, 2020 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. The volatility power δ = 1.31 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8696 | 5.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1850 | 10.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7870 | 29.83*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0924 | 1.45 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3110 | 15.34*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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