V-Lab
Defi Technologies Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
106.38%
decreased by 3.87%
1 Week
114.67%
increased by 4.42%
1 Month
124.00%
increased by 13.75%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0646 | 7.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3204 | 12.03*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.3785 | 7.26*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 4.75*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.225
Half-life:
0 days
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