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V-Lab

Defi Technologies Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

106.38%

decreased by 3.87%

1 Week

114.67%

increased by 4.42%

1 Month

124.00%

increased by 13.75%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Defi Technologies Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0646
7.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3204
12.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

6.3785
7.26***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
4.75***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.225

Half-life:

0 days