V-Lab
Docebo Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
50.45%
decreased by 0.85%
1 Week
53.45%
increased by 2.15%
1 Month
53.76%
increased by 2.46%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 4, 2020 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 255% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0644 | 4.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1359 | 3.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1639 | 2.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 6.2315 | 0.11 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2842 | 0.12 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.1532 | 0.02 |
Persistence:
0.282
Half-life:
1 days
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