V-Lab
iShares Nasdaq Premium Income Active ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
25.30%
decreased by 0.08%
1 Week
25.35%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Month
25.39%
increased by 0.01%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6039 | 5.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0125 | 0.21 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6512 | 0.89 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.7508 | -2.94*** |
Persistence:
0.664
Half-life:
2 days
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