V-Lab
Autozi Internet Technology Global Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
203.84%
increased by 9.41%
1 Week
215.35%
increased by 20.92%
1 Month
218.49%
increased by 24.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 28, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0561 | 4.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0488 | 0.84 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3132 | 4.01*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 191.1215 |
Persistence:
0.261
Half-life:
1 days
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