V-Lab
Autozi Internet Technology Global Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
193.86%
decreased by 3.90%
1 Week
199.46%
increased by 1.70%
1 Month
219.91%
increased by 22.15%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 28, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 169 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.34*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0607 | 3.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8793 | 54.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1117 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
169 days
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