Broadcom Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026
1 Day
42.45%
decreased by 2.22%
1 Week
42.88%
decreased by 1.79%
1 Month
43.43%
decreased by 1.24%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 6, 2009 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 162% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 162% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0764 | 2.57** |
| βGARCH | 0.6443 | 10.49*** |
| γleverage | 0.1236 | 2.72*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0267 | 1.33 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0169 | 2.49** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9788 | 117.04*** |
0.783
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0764 | 2.57** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6443 | 10.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1236 | 2.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0267 | 1.33 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0169 | 2.49** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9788 | 117.04*** |
Persistence:
0.783
Half-life:
3 days
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