V-Lab
Broadcom Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
40.19%
decreased by 1.07%
1 Week
41.86%
increased by 0.60%
1 Month
43.44%
increased by 2.18%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 6, 2009 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 165% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 165% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0768 | 2.58*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6411 | 10.40*** |
| γleverage | 0.1264 | 2.75*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0270 | 1.32 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0169 | 2.49** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9787 | 115.66*** |
0.781
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0768 | 2.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6411 | 10.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1264 | 2.75*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0270 | 1.32 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0169 | 2.49** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9787 | 115.66*** |
Persistence:
0.781
Half-life:
3 days
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