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V-Lab

ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

69.09%

decreased by 5.97%

1 Week

67.51%

decreased by 7.55%

1 Month

63.66%

decreased by 11.40%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2004 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 188% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1648
15.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0621
13.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7934
97.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1169
11.16***

Persistence:

0.914

Half-life:

8 days