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V-Lab

ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

73.65%

increased by 0.65%

1 Week

72.97%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

70.55%

decreased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 126% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2529
7.88***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0197
6.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9467
306.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0248
5.08***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days