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V-Lab

ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

82.03%

decreased by 1.45%

1 Week

81.15%

decreased by 2.33%

1 Month

77.97%

decreased by 5.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 14, 2004 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 125% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2364
7.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0189
6.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9495
323.63***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0237
4.96***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days