ams-OSRAM AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
69.09%
decreased by 5.97%
1 Week
67.51%
decreased by 7.55%
1 Month
63.66%
decreased by 11.40%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 14, 2004 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 188% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1648 | 15.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0621 | 13.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7934 | 97.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1169 | 11.16*** |
Persistence:
0.914
Half-life:
8 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities