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V-Lab

Monotaro Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

38.94%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

39.23%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

40.29%

increased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Monotaro Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 6, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 48% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1381
12.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0286
13.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9493
386.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0138
2.79***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days