V-Lab
Monotaro Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
38.94%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
39.23%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Month
40.29%
increased by 0.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 6, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 48% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1381 | 12.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0286 | 13.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9493 | 386.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0138 | 2.79*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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