Monotaro Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:47.67% (+12.97%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1051 | 5.98 | |
| 0.2235 | 2.53 | |
| 0.1742 | 1.61 | |
| -0.2592 | -1.33 | |
| 0.3522 | 1.09 | |
| -0.1792 | -0.63 | |
| 0.2447 | 0.84 | |
| -0.3999 | -1.26 | |
| 0.5012 | 1.81 | |
| -0.3948 | -2.19 | |
| 0.1344 | 0.72 | |
| 0.0810 | 0.42 | |
| -0.2077 | -0.89 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 6, 2006 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 6, 2006 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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