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Tencent Music Entertainment Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

250.66

increased by 30.74

1 Week

235.88

increased by 15.96

1 Month

231.31

increased by 11.39

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tencent Music Entertainment Group ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2018 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~173 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0771
7.16***
αARCH0.0549
7.35***
βGARCH0.9411
120.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0329
-1.42

0.996

Persistence

173d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0771
7.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0549
7.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9411
120.36***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0329
-1.42

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

173 days