V-Lab
Tencent Music Entertainment Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
215.70
increased by 0.12
1 Week
221.89
increased by 6.31
1 Month
244.00
increased by 28.42
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 171 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0742 | 7.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0553 | 7.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9407 | 119.10*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0352 | -1.49 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
171 days
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