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Tencent Music Entertainment Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

215.70

increased by 0.12

1 Week

221.89

increased by 6.31

1 Month

244.00

increased by 28.42

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tencent Music Entertainment Group ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 171 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0742
7.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0553
7.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9407
119.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0352
-1.49

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

171 days