V-Lab
ABN AMRO Group NV Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
160.24
decreased by 4.07
1 Week
161.32
decreased by 2.99
1 Month
170.97
increased by 6.66
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 79 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1376 | 7.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0634 | 6.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9278 | 89.43*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0306 | -4.02*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
79 days
Other ABN AMRO Group NV Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Depositary Receipts