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ABN AMRO Group NV Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

160.24

decreased by 4.07

1 Week

161.32

decreased by 2.99

1 Month

170.97

increased by 6.66

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:11 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ABN AMRO Group NV ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 79 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1376
7.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0634
6.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9278
89.43***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0306
-4.02***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

79 days