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High Templar Tech Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

103,691.70

decreased by 5,296.80

1 Week

99,635.46

decreased by 9,353.04

1 Month

76,163.15

decreased by 32,825.35

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of High Templar Tech Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 18, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 883 trading days (~3.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9325
8.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1427
9.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8565
58.82***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0064
0.10

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

883 days