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V-Lab

Azzuro Resources PLC Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

17,676,190.00

unchanged at 0.00

1 Week

18,042,440.00

increased by 366,250.00

1 Month

20,087,150.53

increased by 2,410,960.53

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Azzuro Resources PLC ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4024
1.97**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9599
18.10***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ15.3641
1.10
γ2-13.8823
-1.58
γ317.4394
2.12**
γ4-27.0781
-3.72***
γ543.6626
6.64***
γ6-49.7991
-6.38***
γ739.8701
5.63***
γ8-23.0538
-4.44***
γ915.1065
2.40**
γ10-15.3670
-1.07

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days