V-Lab
EMC Gold Corp Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Suspended
Last recorded values (Wednesday, November 24th, 2021):
1 Day
4,419,025.00
1 Week
4,446,295.75
1 Month
4,641,459.33
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 23, 2021 at 10:51 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 29, 2018 to Nov 19, 2021Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 7146 trading days (~28.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4105 | 0.02 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9999 | 0.23 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | -82.6614 | -0.01 |
| γ2 | 113.5327 | 0.05 |
| γ3 | -68.2278 | -0.04 |
| γ4 | 75.7803 | 0.07 |
| γ5 | -72.6075 | -0.10 |
| γ6 | 52.6804 | 0.11 |
| γ7 | -16.6849 | -0.04 |
| γ8 | -8.1926 | -0.03 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
7146 days
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