V-Lab
Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
244,594.00
decreased by 36,381.80
1 Week
279,067.26
decreased by 1,908.54
1 Month
370,234.24
increased by 89,258.44
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 12, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 14 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9905 | 6.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2200 | 9.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7331 | 22.02*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -4.0925 | -10.90*** |
| γ2 | 7.2075 | 11.54*** |
| γ3 | -4.3936 | -10.16*** |
| γ4 | 0.9670 | 2.40** |
| γ5 | 1.4604 | 2.73*** |
Persistence:
0.953
Half-life:
14 days
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