V-Lab
Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
213,501.80
decreased by 48,689.30
1 Week
210,915.90
decreased by 51,275.20
1 Month
170,253.61
decreased by 91,937.49
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 12, 2019 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 16 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0569 | 5.84*** |
| αARCH | 0.2216 | 9.25*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7361 | 23.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -4.0357 | -10.59*** |
| γ2 | 7.1674 | 11.17*** |
| γ3 | -4.4907 | -10.12*** |
| γ4 | 1.1772 | 2.93*** |
| γ5 | 0.9860 | 1.81* |
0.958
Persistence16d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0569 | 5.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2216 | 9.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7361 | 23.12*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -4.0357 | -10.59*** |
| γ2 | 7.1674 | 11.17*** |
| γ3 | -4.4907 | -10.12*** |
| γ4 | 1.1772 | 2.93*** |
| γ5 | 0.9860 | 1.81* |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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