V-Lab
Akso Health Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
5,678,765.00
decreased by 1,044,704.00
1 Week
8,506,358.80
increased by 1,782,889.80
1 Month
7,573,095.71
increased by 849,626.71
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1076 trading days (~4.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1076 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1215 | 3.24*** |
| αARCH | 0.2522 | 13.31*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7472 | 39.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.3544 | 5.32*** |
| γ2 | -0.7323 | -6.10*** |
0.999
Persistence1076d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1215 | 3.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2522 | 13.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7472 | 39.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.3544 | 5.32*** |
| γ2 | -0.7323 | -6.10*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1076 days
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