V-Lab
Akso Health Group Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
7,446,359.00
decreased by 1,148,824.00
1 Week
9,460,165.40
increased by 864,982.40
1 Month
7,874,223.60
decreased by 720,959.40
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1050 trading days (~4.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1249 | 3.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2547 | 13.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7446 | 38.46*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | 0.3686 | 5.44*** |
| γ2 | -0.7487 | -6.22*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1050 days
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