V-Lab
Akso Health Group Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
8,694,570.00
1 Week
10,938,619.40
1 Month
7,473,582.60
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 114% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.03 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1367 | 18.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7854 | 301.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1559 | 12.67*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
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