V-Lab
Akso Health Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
6,944,600.00
1 Week
10,977,827.80
1 Month
9,791,912.00
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5899 trading days (~23.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.3561 | 18.39*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7197 | 61.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.1518 | -5.35*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 5,559,047.1784 |
1.000
Persistence5899d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3561 | 18.39*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7197 | 61.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1518 | -5.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5,559,047.1784 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
5899 days
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