V-Lab
Ninebot Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
29.80
1 Week
32.70
1 Month
42.46
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 07:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1141 | 3.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8111 | 146.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1141 | -1.54 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.7074 | 5.42*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3041 | 9.57*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6588 | 8.99*** |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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