V-Lab
Azzuro Resources PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
53,422,630.00
1 Week
41,188,490.00
1 Month
23,830,854.74
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0835 | 1.43 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9344 | 73.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0835 | -0.70 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.3934 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9988 | 119.18*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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