V-Lab
NIO Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
174.21
1 Week
171.04
1 Month
165.67
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0568 | 0.24 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9465 | 193.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0568 | -0.18 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0016 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6997 | 0.28 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0912 | 0.20 |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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