How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1143	0.16
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7436	4.94***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1143	-0.08
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.34
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.2410	0.43
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.7590	0.85

V-Lab

Ternium SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Ternium SA Analyses