V-Lab
RTG Mining Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
98,612,530.00
1 Week
101,455,795.00
1 Month
151,203,156.00
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 5, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 138 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 111 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3144 | 0.12 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8378 | 60.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3144 | -0.06 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0035 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6476 | 1.54 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
138 days
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