How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	126
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0696	14.46***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9224	458.00***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0089	0.69
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	10.0000	0.27
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0530	36.44***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9470	317.47***

V-Lab

Bicycle Therapeutics PLC ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Bicycle Therapeutics PLC Analyses