V-Lab
Zai Lab Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
935.17
1 Week
1,037.91
1 Month
1,407.05
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 20, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1021 | 1.32 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8385 | 20.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1021 | -0.48 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.4810 | 3.28*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0818 | 2.42** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9107 | 9.58*** |
Persistence:
0.890
Half-life:
6 days
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