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36Kr Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

1,021,857.00

decreased by 263,945.00

1 Week

1,282,098.80

decreased by 3,703.20

1 Month

1,571,869.14

increased by 286,067.14

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of 36Kr Holdings Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 8, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 5658 trading days (~22.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2841
46.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7706
210.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1095
-13.83***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

1,988,890.1191

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

5658 days