V-Lab
Van Lanschot Kempen NV ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
2,654.51
1 Week
2,689.59
1 Month
3,113.69
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 22, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1056 | 15.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8632 | 155.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0598 | -3.45*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9990 | 635.51*** |
Persistence:
0.939
Half-life:
11 days
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