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V-Lab

Zai Lab Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

893.54

decreased by 23.59

1 Week

974.07

increased by 56.94

1 Month

1,358.03

increased by 440.90

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zai Lab Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 20, 2017 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 364 trading days (~1.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 87% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
5.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0663
16.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9031
381.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0575
8.17***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

364 days