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Tencent Music Entertainment Group Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

259.26

increased by 35.86

1 Week

237.90

increased by 14.50

1 Month

241.91

increased by 18.51

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/29/2024

to

09/29/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tencent Music Entertainment Group ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 12, 2018 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~173 daysAsymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6900
1.00
αARCH0.0109
1.15
βGARCH0.9625
152.05***
γleverage0.0452
2.54**

0.996

Persistence

173d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6900
1.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0109
1.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9625
152.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0452
2.54**

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

173 days