V-Lab
Tencent Music Entertainment Group Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
215.51
decreased by 3.52
1 Week
219.95
increased by 0.92
1 Month
230.06
increased by 11.03
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 389% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6892 | 4.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0115 | 4.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9621 | 602.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0449 | 9.95*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
173 days
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