V-Lab
Tencent Music Entertainment Group ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
219.08
1 Week
226.58
1 Month
246.39
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0390 | 3.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9553 | 851.39*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0091 | -0.40 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 3.07*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9404 | 3.48*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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