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Trek Metals Limited Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

844,394.20

increased by 150,696.40

1 Week

587,197.88

decreased by 106,499.92

1 Month

455,683.51

decreased by 238,014.29

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trek Metals Limited ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4876
0.07
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7359
0.85
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.4471
-0.06

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days