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Pacific Lime and Cement Ltd Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

317,517.20

decreased by 5,716.80

1 Week

328,257.56

increased by 5,023.56

1 Month

366,520.99

increased by 43,286.99

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 05:57 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Pacific Lime and Cement Ltd ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 21, 2017 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.00
αARCH0.0354
0.06
βGARCH0.9823
19.85***
γleverage-0.0354
-0.06

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0354
0.06
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9823
19.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0354
-0.06

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-