V-Lab
ZTO Express Cayman Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
328.69
decreased by 28.95
1 Week
333.32
decreased by 24.32
1 Month
308.16
decreased by 49.48
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 27, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 59% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude.
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 11.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0657 | 12.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9009 | 320.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0389 | 4.01*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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