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ZTO Express Cayman Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

328.69

decreased by 28.95

1 Week

333.32

decreased by 24.32

1 Month

308.16

decreased by 49.48

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ZTO Express Cayman Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 27, 2016 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 59% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
11.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0657
12.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9009
320.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0389
4.01***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days