V-Lab
NIO Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
144.52
decreased by 8.27
1 Week
153.19
increased by 0.40
1 Month
157.06
increased by 4.27
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0935 | 4.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0254 | 8.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9094 | 427.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1165 | 27.28*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
99 days
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