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NIO Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

171.09

increased by 26.57

1 Week

157.62

increased by 13.10

1 Month

156.21

increased by 11.69

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of NIO Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 99 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: illiquidity responds almost entirely to negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0935
4.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0254
8.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9094
427.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1165
27.28***

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

99 days