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V-Lab

NIO Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

172.04

increased by 7.69

1 Week

172.23

increased by 7.88

1 Month

171.92

increased by 7.57

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of NIO Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 12, 2018 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 400 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9845
7.18***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1286
11.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8697
81.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0250
0.64

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

400 days