V-Lab
Ninebot Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
47.50
decreased by 0.27
1 Week
46.26
decreased by 1.51
1 Month
42.19
decreased by 5.58
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 06:17 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 28, 2021 to Sep 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 66 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1519 | 7.19*** |
| αARCH | 0.1388 | 8.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8507 | 51.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1713 | -2.15** |
0.990
Persistence66d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1519 | 7.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1388 | 8.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8507 | 51.97*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.1713 | -2.15** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
66 days
Other Ninebot Ltd Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Depositary Receipts