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Kore Potash plc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

45,784,800,000.00

decreased by 3,026,170,000.00

1 Week

42,195,713,333.33

decreased by 6,615,256,666.67

1 Month

32,619,083,846.15

decreased by 16,191,886,153.85

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:07 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Kore Potash plc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 21, 2005 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2949 trading days (~11.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1273
3.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1248
4.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8749
34.26***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.4902
-0.71
γ25.2314
1.35
γ3-10.6739
-1.79*
γ414.9721
1.78*
γ5-10.0475
-1.50
γ6-0.6369
-0.23
γ75.6878
2.79***
γ8-5.7837
-2.57**
γ95.6923
2.26**

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2949 days