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Trek Metals Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

660,079.10

increased by 9,060.40

1 Week

533,494.78

decreased by 117,523.92

1 Month

584,653.63

decreased by 66,365.07

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Trek Metals Limited ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3741
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1421
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8579
0.00
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-7.5286
0.00
γ217.3046
0.00
γ3-9.0574
0.00
γ42.5528
0.00
γ5-14.1898
-0.01
γ619.3957
0.00
γ7-13.2881
0.00
γ84.6034
0.00
γ91.3248
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

86643 days