V-Lab
Trek Metals Limited Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
660,079.10
increased by 9,060.40
1 Week
533,494.78
decreased by 117,523.92
1 Month
584,653.63
decreased by 66,365.07
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 86643 trading days (~343.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3741 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1421 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8579 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -7.5286 | 0.00 |
| γ2 | 17.3046 | 0.00 |
| γ3 | -9.0574 | 0.00 |
| γ4 | 2.5528 | 0.00 |
| γ5 | -14.1898 | -0.01 |
| γ6 | 19.3957 | 0.00 |
| γ7 | -13.2881 | 0.00 |
| γ8 | 4.6034 | 0.00 |
| γ9 | 1.3248 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
86643 days
Other Trek Metals Limited Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Depositary Receipts