V-Lab
Tenaris SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
214.79
decreased by 8.21
1 Week
224.49
increased by 1.49
1 Month
255.26
increased by 32.26
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9502 | 3.44*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0632 | 3.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9202 | 53.47*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0358 | -0.36 |
Persistence:
0.983
Half-life:
41 days
Other Tenaris SA Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Depositary Receipts