Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Tenaris SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026

1 Day

213.02

increased by 0.99

1 Week

218.89

increased by 6.86

1 Month

254.42

increased by 42.39

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 05:49 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

09/28/2024

to

09/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tenaris SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2021 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 43 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9232
3.84***
αARCH0.0497
2.94***
βGARCH0.9345
51.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0040
0.03

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9232
3.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0497
2.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9345
51.98***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0040
0.03

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days