Skip to main content
V-Lab

Tenaris SA Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

214.79

decreased by 8.21

1 Week

224.49

increased by 1.49

1 Month

255.26

increased by 32.26

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 05:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Tenaris SA ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 28, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 41 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9502
3.44***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0632
3.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9202
53.47***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0358
-0.36

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

41 days